{"id":23594,"date":"2025-10-14T13:19:27","date_gmt":"2025-10-14T11:19:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/altax.al\/?p=23594"},"modified":"2025-10-14T16:10:07","modified_gmt":"2025-10-14T14:10:07","slug":"euro-keeps-falling-despite-record-bank-of-albania-interventions-but-is-monetary-credibility-at-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/altax.al\/en\/euro-keeps-falling-despite-record-bank-of-albania-interventions-but-is-monetary-credibility-at-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro keeps falling despite record Bank of Albania interventions, but is monetary credibility at risk?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In 2024, the <strong>Bank of Albania<\/strong> carried out one of its largest interventions in history, purchasing <strong>\u20ac930 million<\/strong><a id=\"_ftnref1\" href=\"#_ftn1\"><strong>[1]<\/strong><\/a>, and \u20ac800 million for 9-months in 2026, in foreign currency in an effort to curb the excessive strengthening of the Albanian lek.<br>Yet, despite maintaining the same pace of intervention in 2025, <strong>the euro has continued to depreciate<\/strong>, reaching unprecedented lows in the domestic market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to <strong>ALTAX\u2019s analysis<\/strong>, this dynamic signals a deeper problem, <strong>the weakening impact of monetary instruments<\/strong> in an economy increasingly shaped by strong foreign inflows from investments, remittances, and tourism revenues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A growing monetary paradox<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bank\u2019s large-scale interventions aim to protect export competitiveness and contain inflation, but the ongoing depreciation of the euro has had the opposite effect: <strong>reduced profitability for exporters, lower euro-denominated revenues, and signs of structural imbalance in the market<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Instead of restoring stability, these interventions expose the <strong>lack of domestic mechanisms to absorb excess foreign currency<\/strong> and the <strong>structural dependence on external flows<\/strong>.<br>As a result, the central bank faces a delicate balance between controlling inflation and <strong>preserving public trust in its monetary policy<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Credibility under pressure<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Official data highlight inflation declining to <strong>2.2%<\/strong>, yet the market remains unconvinced. The euro\u2019s fall continues, while the volume of interventions grows.<br>This contradiction raises questions about <strong>the credibility and sustainability of Albania\u2019s monetary stance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ALTAX stresses that the real challenge lies not in managing the exchange rate itself, but in <strong>rebuilding confidence in monetary policy mechanisms<\/strong>.<br>In a heavily euroized economy with large inflows and low domestic demand for euros, centralized interventions have diminishing effects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u201cBuying foreign currency can no longer substitute for building trust,\u201d<\/em> the analysis warns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A policy that needs coordination<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Economists caution that if current trends persist, Albania risks a <strong>structurally distorted exchange rate<\/strong>, where a strong lek undermines exports and increases import dependency.<br>The solution lies not in larger interventions, but in <strong>a more coherent fiscal-monetary coordination<\/strong> and in creating real economic channels to absorb excess foreign currency. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ultimately, the essential question remains:<br>&#8211; <strong>How long can the Bank of Albania buy credibility with the euros it keeps buying from the market?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"#_ftnref1\" id=\"_ftn1\">[1]<\/a> https:\/\/www.bankofalbania.org\/Shtypi\/Njoftimet_per_shtyp\/Fjala_e_Guvernatorit_Sejko_gjate_prezantimit_te_Raportit_Vjetor_te_Bankes_se_Shqiperise_per_vitin_2024_ne_Komisionin_e_Kuvendit_per_Ekonomine_Punesimin_dhe_Financat.html<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 2024, the Bank of Albania carried out one of its largest interventions in history, purchasing \u20ac930 million[1], and \u20ac800 million for 9-months in 2026, in foreign currency in an [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":23595,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10475],"tags":[18679,18678,18676,15374,17271,18674,11129,18680,18675],"class_list":["post-23594","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-en","tag-banka-e-shqiperise-3","tag-besueshmeria-financiare","tag-euroizimi","tag-kursi-i-kembimit","tag-lek-i-forte-2","tag-nderhyrje-valutore","tag-politika-monetare-en","tag-stabilitet-ekonomik-3","tag-zhvleresimi-i-euros-2"],"featured_image_src":{"landsacpe":["https:\/\/altax.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/euroization-640x445.jpg",640,445,true],"list":["https:\/\/altax.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/euroization-463x348.jpg",463,348,true],"medium":["https:\/\/altax.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/euroization-300x300.jpg",300,300,true],"full":["https:\/\/altax.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/euroization.jpg",640,640,false]},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Euro keeps falling despite record Bank of Albania interventions, but is monetary credibility at risk? 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